Euro extends losses below 1.1700 as Eurozone data disappoints
May 13, 2026 · Source: fxstreet.com · Topic:
global-fx-macro · insurance-and-insurtech · geopolitical-risk-supply-chain
Eurozone GDP Growth Q1
0.1%
Confirmed GDP growth for Eurozone in Q1, down from 0.2% in Q4
Eurozone Industrial Production Growth March
0.2%
Industrial production growth in March, below the 0.3% market forecast
Year-on-Year Factory Output Contraction
-2.1%
Accelerated contraction in factory output in March from -0.8% in February
⦿ Executive Snapshot
- What: Euro extends losses against the US Dollar, falling below the 1.1700 mark.
- Who: Eurozone economies, US Federal Reserve, Euro (EUR), US Dollar (USD).
- Why it matters: Disappointing Eurozone economic data raises concerns about the region's growth, while US inflation data supports the Dollar's strength.
⦿ Key Developments
- EUR/USD drops below 1.1700 after rejection at 1.1790 on Tuesday.
- Eurozone GDP growth confirmed at a meager 0.1% for Q1, down from 0.2% in Q4.
- Eurozone Industrial Production growth at 0.2% in March, below the 0.3% market forecast, and February's figures revised down to 0.2%.
- Year-on-year factory output contraction accelerates to -2.1% in March from -0.8% in February.
- US Dollar buoyed by a nearly three-year high year-on-year CPI rate, crushing hopes for further Fed rate cuts.
⦿ Strategic Context
- The Eurozone's economic struggles reflect broader concerns about its growth trajectory amid global economic pressures.
- The US Dollar benefits from recent inflation data, creating a divergence in monetary policy expectations between the US and Eurozone.
⦿ Strategic Implications
- Immediate bearish sentiment around the Euro could lead to further depreciation against the Dollar, particularly if key support levels are breached.
- Long-term implications may include shifts in investment flows towards safer assets like the USD, affecting Eurozone's capital markets.
⦿ Risks & Constraints
- Regulatory and economic challenges within the Eurozone could hinder recovery efforts, exacerbating the current downturn.
- Increased competition from other currencies and potential geopolitical tensions could further pressure the Euro.
⦿ Watchlist / Forward Signals
- Watch for any changes in Eurozone economic indicators that could signal a turnaround or continuation of the current trend.
- Upcoming Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates and inflation data will be critical to gauge the future strength of the US Dollar.
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