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Articles / global-fx-macro / AUD/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA support near 0.7200

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA support near 0.7200

May 12, 2026 · Source: fxstreet.com · Topic:  global-fx-macro · fintech
Initial Support Level
0.7214
Current value of the nine-day EMA support for AUD/USD
RSI Value
60
14-day Relative Strength Index indicating bullish momentum
Key Resistance Level
0.7277
Potential target level for AUD/USD, highest since June 2022

⦿ Executive Snapshot

  • What: AUD/USD is experiencing bullish momentum while testing key support levels.
  • Who: AUD/USD traders and Forex analysts, specifically Akhtar Faruqui.
  • Why it matters: The movement of the AUD/USD pair could indicate broader market trends and affect trading strategies for Forex investors.

⦿ Key Developments

  • AUD/USD may test the 0.7277 level, which would be the highest point since June 2022.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought.
  • Initial support for the pair is identified at the nine-day EMA, currently at 0.7214.

⦿ Strategic Context

  • The AUD/USD pair is positioned above both the nine-period and 50-period EMAs, suggesting a sustained uptrend.
  • The technical analysis indicates that the pair is moving within an ascending channel, reflecting ongoing bullish sentiment in the market.

⦿ Strategic Implications

  • If AUD/USD breaks above 0.7277, it may pave the way to target higher levels around 0.7460, enhancing trader confidence.
  • A decline below the nine-day EMA could shift market sentiment towards bearish, potentially leading to lower trading levels.

⦿ Risks & Constraints

  • A break below the 50-day EMA at 0.7096 could signal a significant bearish trend and lead to further declines.
  • Market volatility and external economic factors could impact the performance of the AUD/USD pair.

⦿ Watchlist / Forward Signals

  • Traders should monitor for any significant moves above or below the key levels of 0.7277 and 0.7214 respectively.
  • Continued analysis of the RSI and EMA positions will be crucial in assessing future price movements of the AUD/USD pair.
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